coincheck
Launch ledger · published methodology · no paid placement

Deployer J4kitbsB…rQ2TJ2

This wallet launched 59 token(s) in our ledger. 1 graduated from the bonding curve, a 1.69% graduation rate.

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Record

WalletJ4kitbsB48J4jnFG4jkbDAd2KAa8HiPrCYAc7ZrQ2TJ2
Launches observed59
Graduated1
Graduation rate1.69%
Best multiple13.4x

A deployer with several launches has a measurable graduation rate, which is more informative than a single launch. A deployer with one launch has a rate of either 0% or 100% and tells you nothing.

Recent launches

The wallet's most recent 59 launches, biggest move first. Most launches never leave the bonding curve, so a list of only the winners would misrepresent the record.

LaunchMultiple PeakOutcome
Goon13.4x$42,870graduated
Goon4.8x$7,566no
Goon4.2x$5,305no
Goon3.6x$7,650no
Goon3.5x$7,570no
Goon3.5x$5,593no
Goon3.5x$6,298no
Goon3.1x$3,827no
Goon3.0x$6,502no
Goon2.9x$5,770no
geek2.8x$5,323no
Goon2.5x$5,432no

1 of these 59 graduated. Every one has its own launch record in the ledger.

Graduated launches

TokenMultiplePeak
Goon13.4x$42,870

What a graduation rate does not tell you

A high rate means this wallet is good at getting projects to clear the curve. It is not evidence of a good project, not an audit of the contracts, and not a guarantee that anyone who buys can sell. Most launches never graduate, so a creator who graduates two of three is still leaving two tokens stranded on the curve.

It also cannot see a deployer who uses a fresh wallet per launch, which is the cheapest way to avoid a history. Cross-chain wallet clustering would address that and is not built.

What these numbers are. CoinCheck's 94.6% aggregate is a bonding-curve graduation predictor over 79,519 resolved calls. It is not a rug-detection accuracy rate, and the bullish bucket scores 1%.

What graduation is not. Leaving the bonding curve means a token got enough buying interest to clear a low bar. It is not a safety endorsement, and a deployer who graduates often is not thereby running a good project.

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