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Launch ledger · published methodology · no paid placement

Deployer HpfXpsNP…6m7UbT

This wallet launched 15 token(s) in our ledger. 1 graduated from the bonding curve, a 6.67% graduation rate.

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Record

WalletHpfXpsNPkEkk3qT7HDqwrScp4BDx2f1fuyUeMt6m7UbT
Launches observed15
Graduated1
Graduation rate6.67%
Best multiple10.8x

A deployer with several launches has a measurable graduation rate, which is more informative than a single launch. A deployer with one launch has a rate of either 0% or 100% and tells you nothing.

Recent launches

The wallet's most recent 15 launches, biggest move first. Most launches never leave the bonding curve, so a list of only the winners would misrepresent the record.

LaunchMultiple PeakOutcome
EXCELSIOR10.8x$27,953graduated
EXCELSIOR9.8x$22,799no
EXCELSIOR5.7x$14,951no
EXCELSIOR2.7x$4,389no
excelsior2.6x$3,480no
EXCELSIOR2.6x$7,286no
EXCELSIOR2.6x$7,555no
excelsior2.3x$3,753no
EXCELSIOR2.0x$6,511no
EXCELSIOR1.8x$8,778no
EXCELSIOR1.8x$8,254no
EXCELSIOR1.7x$3,893no

1 of these 15 graduated. Every one has its own launch record in the ledger.

Graduated launches

TokenMultiplePeak
EXCELSIOR10.8x$27,953

What a graduation rate does not tell you

A high rate means this wallet is good at getting projects to clear the curve. It is not evidence of a good project, not an audit of the contracts, and not a guarantee that anyone who buys can sell. Most launches never graduate, so a creator who graduates two of three is still leaving two tokens stranded on the curve.

It also cannot see a deployer who uses a fresh wallet per launch, which is the cheapest way to avoid a history. Cross-chain wallet clustering would address that and is not built.

What these numbers are. CoinCheck's 94.6% aggregate is a bonding-curve graduation predictor over 79,519 resolved calls. It is not a rug-detection accuracy rate, and the bullish bucket scores 1%.

What graduation is not. Leaving the bonding curve means a token got enough buying interest to clear a low bar. It is not a safety endorsement, and a deployer who graduates often is not thereby running a good project.

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