This wallet launched 318 token(s) in our ledger. 2 graduated from the bonding curve, a 0.63% graduation rate.
View on Solscan| Wallet | HWXmR5FU1irgeE2ubzA1jfYtcBQJbaRxVAYndBRYbBn8 |
|---|---|
| Launches observed | 318 |
| Graduated | 2 |
| Graduation rate | 0.63% |
| Best multiple | 14.8x |
A deployer with several launches has a measurable graduation rate, which is more informative than a single launch. A deployer with one launch has a rate of either 0% or 100% and tells you nothing.
The wallet's most recent 318 launches, biggest move first. Most launches never leave the bonding curve, so a list of only the winners would misrepresent the record.
| Launch | Multiple | Peak | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Candle Owens | 14.8x | $175,407 | graduated |
| Candle Owens | 11.2x | $33,294 | graduated |
| Candle Owens | 11.8x | $46,917 | no |
| Candle Owens | 9.5x | $26,084 | no |
| You | 9.1x | $12,078 | no |
| You | 8.6x | $29,815 | no |
| You | 8.1x | $12,406 | no |
| showteeth | 7.4x | $196,200 | no |
| You | 6.4x | $17,760 | no |
| You | 6.0x | $12,733 | no |
| You | 5.4x | $14,703 | no |
| Candle Owens | 5.3x | $154,184 | no |
2 of these 318 graduated. Every one has its own launch record in the ledger.
| Token | Multiple | Peak |
|---|---|---|
| Candle Owens | 14.8x | $175,407 |
| Candle Owens | 11.2x | $33,294 |
A high rate means this wallet is good at getting projects to clear the curve. It is not evidence of a good project, not an audit of the contracts, and not a guarantee that anyone who buys can sell. Most launches never graduate, so a creator who graduates two of three is still leaving two tokens stranded on the curve.
It also cannot see a deployer who uses a fresh wallet per launch, which is the cheapest way to avoid a history. Cross-chain wallet clustering would address that and is not built.
What these numbers are. CoinCheck's 94.6% aggregate is a bonding-curve graduation predictor over 79,519 resolved calls. It is not a rug-detection accuracy rate, and the bullish bucket scores 1%.
What graduation is not. Leaving the bonding curve means a token got enough buying interest to clear a low bar. It is not a safety endorsement, and a deployer who graduates often is not thereby running a good project.
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