This wallet launched 445 token(s) in our ledger. 5 graduated from the bonding curve, a 1.12% graduation rate.
View on Solscan| Wallet | HQfr3NYKLRCFU5fAn5Qmn2kaz2hnwSCG5DQncaHF8bjk |
|---|---|
| Launches observed | 445 |
| Graduated | 5 |
| Graduation rate | 1.12% |
| Best multiple | 71.3x |
A deployer with several launches has a measurable graduation rate, which is more informative than a single launch. A deployer with one launch has a rate of either 0% or 100% and tells you nothing.
The wallet's most recent 445 launches, biggest move first. Most launches never leave the bonding curve, so a list of only the winners would misrepresent the record.
| Launch | Multiple | Peak | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kakuna | 71.3x | $161,888 | graduated |
| Ulula | 31.3x | $145,653 | graduated |
| Bottle | 21.5x | $45,959 | graduated |
| Love | 12.1x | $28,362 | graduated |
| Bottle | 10.1x | $33,784 | graduated |
| Ulula | 35.7x | $76,206 | no |
| Kakuna | 12.1x | $14,537 | no |
| Stee | 9.6x | $21,443 | no |
| Ulula | 7.8x | $23,345 | no |
| Kakuna | 7.6x | $21,787 | no |
| Love | 7.3x | $10,469 | no |
| Kakuna | 7.3x | $15,586 | no |
5 of these 445 graduated. Every one has its own launch record in the ledger.
| Token | Multiple | Peak |
|---|---|---|
| Kakuna | 71.3x | $161,888 |
| Ulula | 31.3x | $145,653 |
| Bottle | 21.5x | $45,959 |
| Love | 12.1x | $28,362 |
| Bottle | 10.1x | $33,784 |
A high rate means this wallet is good at getting projects to clear the curve. It is not evidence of a good project, not an audit of the contracts, and not a guarantee that anyone who buys can sell. Most launches never graduate, so a creator who graduates two of three is still leaving two tokens stranded on the curve.
It also cannot see a deployer who uses a fresh wallet per launch, which is the cheapest way to avoid a history. Cross-chain wallet clustering would address that and is not built.
What these numbers are. CoinCheck's 94.6% aggregate is a bonding-curve graduation predictor over 79,519 resolved calls. It is not a rug-detection accuracy rate, and the bullish bucket scores 1%.
What graduation is not. Leaving the bonding curve means a token got enough buying interest to clear a low bar. It is not a safety endorsement, and a deployer who graduates often is not thereby running a good project.
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