coincheck
Launch ledger · published methodology · no paid placement

Deployer Fp4w9XK5…uPFTcJ

This wallet launched 27 token(s) in our ledger. 1 graduated from the bonding curve, a 3.70% graduation rate.

View on Solscan

Record

WalletFp4w9XK5vLcvwBXxTMTChpd8PqcxYhSoQRV39KuPFTcJ
Launches observed27
Graduated1
Graduation rate3.70%
Best multiple13.8x

A deployer with several launches has a measurable graduation rate, which is more informative than a single launch. A deployer with one launch has a rate of either 0% or 100% and tells you nothing.

Recent launches

The wallet's most recent 27 launches, biggest move first. Most launches never leave the bonding curve, so a list of only the winners would misrepresent the record.

LaunchMultiple PeakOutcome
GET OUT OF BED13.8x$39,831graduated
GET OUT OF BED26.9x$105,899no
GET OUT OF BED1.8x$5,938no
GET OUT OF BED1.6x$4,650no
GET OUT OF BED1.6x$4,687no
GET OUT OF BED1.6x$4,556no
GET OUT OF BED1.4x$4,109no
GET OUT OF BED1.4x$4,313no
GET OUT OF BED1.4x$4,630no
GET OUT OF BED1.4x$3,967no
GOOB1.4x$5,356no
GET OUT OF BED1.4x$3,949no

1 of these 27 graduated. Every one has its own launch record in the ledger.

Graduated launches

TokenMultiplePeak
GET OUT OF BED13.8x$39,831

What a graduation rate does not tell you

A high rate means this wallet is good at getting projects to clear the curve. It is not evidence of a good project, not an audit of the contracts, and not a guarantee that anyone who buys can sell. Most launches never graduate, so a creator who graduates two of three is still leaving two tokens stranded on the curve.

It also cannot see a deployer who uses a fresh wallet per launch, which is the cheapest way to avoid a history. Cross-chain wallet clustering would address that and is not built.

What these numbers are. CoinCheck's 94.6% aggregate is a bonding-curve graduation predictor over 79,519 resolved calls. It is not a rug-detection accuracy rate, and the bullish bucket scores 1%.

What graduation is not. Leaving the bonding curve means a token got enough buying interest to clear a low bar. It is not a safety endorsement, and a deployer who graduates often is not thereby running a good project.

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