This wallet launched 431 token(s) in our ledger. 2 graduated from the bonding curve, a 0.46% graduation rate.
View on Solscan| Wallet | Cog93vnaqUN784gNMQeiDonEagW8PHNoNihYUbMCEtMg |
|---|---|
| Launches observed | 431 |
| Graduated | 2 |
| Graduation rate | 0.46% |
| Best multiple | 16.6x |
A deployer with several launches has a measurable graduation rate, which is more informative than a single launch. A deployer with one launch has a rate of either 0% or 100% and tells you nothing.
The wallet's most recent 431 launches, biggest move first. Most launches never leave the bonding curve, so a list of only the winners would misrepresent the record.
| Launch | Multiple | Peak | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| official rdj coin | 16.6x | $32,079 | graduated |
| tosho | 15.4x | $32,514 | graduated |
| cate king | 40.4x | $117,857 | no |
| official steve jobs coin | 18.4x | $22,842 | no |
| mimi the bull | 7.6x | $16,236 | no |
| official max verstappen coin | 6.5x | $36,005 | no |
| official robert downey jr meme | 5.4x | $11,474 | no |
| peenut the goat | 5.3x | $6,042 | no |
| pop dog | 5.2x | $11,117 | no |
| official elon musk coin | 4.7x | $5,282 | no |
| tosho | 4.0x | $8,496 | no |
| Cashnut the squirell | 3.8x | $6,870 | no |
2 of these 431 graduated. Every one has its own launch record in the ledger.
| Token | Multiple | Peak |
|---|---|---|
| official rdj coin | 16.6x | $32,079 |
| tosho | 15.4x | $32,514 |
A high rate means this wallet is good at getting projects to clear the curve. It is not evidence of a good project, not an audit of the contracts, and not a guarantee that anyone who buys can sell. Most launches never graduate, so a creator who graduates two of three is still leaving two tokens stranded on the curve.
It also cannot see a deployer who uses a fresh wallet per launch, which is the cheapest way to avoid a history. Cross-chain wallet clustering would address that and is not built.
What these numbers are. CoinCheck's 94.6% aggregate is a bonding-curve graduation predictor over 79,519 resolved calls. It is not a rug-detection accuracy rate, and the bullish bucket scores 1%.
What graduation is not. Leaving the bonding curve means a token got enough buying interest to clear a low bar. It is not a safety endorsement, and a deployer who graduates often is not thereby running a good project.
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