This wallet launched 1200 token(s) in our ledger. 3 graduated from the bonding curve, a 0.25% graduation rate.
View on Solscan| Wallet | C3mhcUHkajRyiPz4Zg58rzTpBBmsCK9gmTJwVDUqfZE2 |
|---|---|
| Launches observed | 1200 |
| Graduated | 3 |
| Graduation rate | 0.25% |
| Best multiple | 11.5x |
A deployer with several launches has a measurable graduation rate, which is more informative than a single launch. A deployer with one launch has a rate of either 0% or 100% and tells you nothing.
The wallet's most recent 1200 launches, biggest move first. Most launches never leave the bonding curve, so a list of only the winners would misrepresent the record.
| Launch | Multiple | Peak | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ribbit | 11.5x | $26,289 | graduated |
| COPE | 10.4x | $54,173 | graduated |
| COPE | 10.3x | $22,380 | graduated |
| Shiver | 18.3x | $25,988 | no |
| fox | 11.2x | $13,318 | no |
| COPE | 11.1x | $12,976 | no |
| BROKE HIPPO | 10.7x | $14,531 | no |
| Shiver | 8.7x | $10,822 | no |
| Shiver | 8.3x | $28,326 | no |
| Ribbit | 7.0x | $44,845 | no |
| Shiver | 6.8x | $14,612 | no |
| COPE | 6.7x | $12,696 | no |
3 of these 1200 graduated. Every one has its own launch record in the ledger.
A high rate means this wallet is good at getting projects to clear the curve. It is not evidence of a good project, not an audit of the contracts, and not a guarantee that anyone who buys can sell. Most launches never graduate, so a creator who graduates two of three is still leaving two tokens stranded on the curve.
It also cannot see a deployer who uses a fresh wallet per launch, which is the cheapest way to avoid a history. Cross-chain wallet clustering would address that and is not built.
What these numbers are. CoinCheck's 94.6% aggregate is a bonding-curve graduation predictor over 79,519 resolved calls. It is not a rug-detection accuracy rate, and the bullish bucket scores 1%.
What graduation is not. Leaving the bonding curve means a token got enough buying interest to clear a low bar. It is not a safety endorsement, and a deployer who graduates often is not thereby running a good project.
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