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Launch ledger · published methodology · no paid placement

Deployer AFnC15TY…pjshtN

This wallet launched 64 token(s) in our ledger. 1 graduated from the bonding curve, a 1.56% graduation rate.

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Record

WalletAFnC15TYKw1SSrs3Q2pN87NxZnBJo1yBHJKwYxpjshtN
Launches observed64
Graduated1
Graduation rate1.56%
Best multiple11.3x

A deployer with several launches has a measurable graduation rate, which is more informative than a single launch. A deployer with one launch has a rate of either 0% or 100% and tells you nothing.

Recent launches

The wallet's most recent 64 launches, biggest move first. Most launches never leave the bonding curve, so a list of only the winners would misrepresent the record.

LaunchMultiple PeakOutcome
DUCK DUCK GOOSE11.3x$18,366graduated
Make It Happen15.3x$18,875no
GOLDEN GOOSE7.8x$11,686no
Goldstein7.5x$15,058no
UP UP AND AWAYYYY6.9x$7,631no
DONS DUCK6.6x$28,354no
RETIRED DUCK6.0x$12,743no
Golden Duck5.1x$15,018no
GOLDEN DUCK4.9x$10,054no
Fwendship4.6x$27,408no
I$LAND4.4x$9,248no
DUCK DUCK GOOSE4.2x$9,027no

1 of these 64 graduated. Every one has its own launch record in the ledger.

Graduated launches

TokenMultiplePeak
DUCK DUCK GOOSE11.3x$18,366

What a graduation rate does not tell you

A high rate means this wallet is good at getting projects to clear the curve. It is not evidence of a good project, not an audit of the contracts, and not a guarantee that anyone who buys can sell. Most launches never graduate, so a creator who graduates two of three is still leaving two tokens stranded on the curve.

It also cannot see a deployer who uses a fresh wallet per launch, which is the cheapest way to avoid a history. Cross-chain wallet clustering would address that and is not built.

What these numbers are. CoinCheck's 94.6% aggregate is a bonding-curve graduation predictor over 79,519 resolved calls. It is not a rug-detection accuracy rate, and the bullish bucket scores 1%.

What graduation is not. Leaving the bonding curve means a token got enough buying interest to clear a low bar. It is not a safety endorsement, and a deployer who graduates often is not thereby running a good project.

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