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Launch ledger · published methodology · no paid placement

Deployer A4sgTPJc…rUqBc2

This wallet launched 19 token(s) in our ledger. 1 graduated from the bonding curve, a 5.26% graduation rate.

View on Solscan

Record

WalletA4sgTPJcds6UyF8Beg6zKJ6tb5KwwGmQoiVvYrUqBc2
Launches observed19
Graduated1
Graduation rate5.26%
Best multiple52.8x

A deployer with several launches has a measurable graduation rate, which is more informative than a single launch. A deployer with one launch has a rate of either 0% or 100% and tells you nothing.

Recent launches

The wallet's most recent 19 launches, biggest move first. Most launches never leave the bonding curve, so a list of only the winners would misrepresent the record.

LaunchMultiple PeakOutcome
BullRun52.8x$112,659graduated
LittleHamster3.7x$9,994no
BullRun2.5x$5,278no
BullRun2.3x$3,901no
Hamster1.8x$4,006no
BullRun1.5x$4,882no
BullRun1.3x$2,838no
BullRun1.2x$3,051no
LittleHamster1.1x$3,552no
BullRun1.0x$2,603no
BullRun1.0x$2,604no
FuckBear1.0x$2,602no

1 of these 19 graduated. Every one has its own launch record in the ledger.

Graduated launches

TokenMultiplePeak
BullRun52.8x$112,659

What a graduation rate does not tell you

A high rate means this wallet is good at getting projects to clear the curve. It is not evidence of a good project, not an audit of the contracts, and not a guarantee that anyone who buys can sell. Most launches never graduate, so a creator who graduates two of three is still leaving two tokens stranded on the curve.

It also cannot see a deployer who uses a fresh wallet per launch, which is the cheapest way to avoid a history. Cross-chain wallet clustering would address that and is not built.

What these numbers are. CoinCheck's 94.6% aggregate is a bonding-curve graduation predictor over 79,519 resolved calls. It is not a rug-detection accuracy rate, and the bullish bucket scores 1%.

What graduation is not. Leaving the bonding curve means a token got enough buying interest to clear a low bar. It is not a safety endorsement, and a deployer who graduates often is not thereby running a good project.

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