This wallet launched 54 token(s) in our ledger. 2 graduated from the bonding curve, a 3.70% graduation rate.
View on Solscan| Wallet | 8m3Pm6Z53aheVqHMyDNTkEqcMemHDgbAkZfjWHrxkTcF |
|---|---|
| Launches observed | 54 |
| Graduated | 2 |
| Graduation rate | 3.70% |
| Best multiple | 61.2x |
A deployer with several launches has a measurable graduation rate, which is more informative than a single launch. A deployer with one launch has a rate of either 0% or 100% and tells you nothing.
The wallet's most recent 54 launches, biggest move first. Most launches never leave the bonding curve, so a list of only the winners would misrepresent the record.
| Launch | Multiple | Peak | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| 116k | 61.2x | $164,286 | graduated |
| crossing | 11.4x | $30,291 | graduated |
| Jesus wine | 16.1x | $64,870 | no |
| plot twist | 5.4x | $15,376 | no |
| fuck Israel | 4.9x | $10,574 | no |
| messy | 4.7x | $6,060 | no |
| 116k | 4.4x | $9,464 | no |
| eve’s menu | 4.2x | $4,716 | no |
| same same | 4.1x | $8,833 | no |
| yes chef | 3.7x | $4,254 | no |
| plot twist | 3.3x | $3,825 | no |
| yes chef | 3.2x | $6,385 | no |
2 of these 54 graduated. Every one has its own launch record in the ledger.
A high rate means this wallet is good at getting projects to clear the curve. It is not evidence of a good project, not an audit of the contracts, and not a guarantee that anyone who buys can sell. Most launches never graduate, so a creator who graduates two of three is still leaving two tokens stranded on the curve.
It also cannot see a deployer who uses a fresh wallet per launch, which is the cheapest way to avoid a history. Cross-chain wallet clustering would address that and is not built.
What these numbers are. CoinCheck's 94.6% aggregate is a bonding-curve graduation predictor over 79,519 resolved calls. It is not a rug-detection accuracy rate, and the bullish bucket scores 1%.
What graduation is not. Leaving the bonding curve means a token got enough buying interest to clear a low bar. It is not a safety endorsement, and a deployer who graduates often is not thereby running a good project.
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