coincheck
Launch ledger · published methodology · no paid placement

Deployer 85JfzMJ7…zvDjUY

This wallet launched 29 token(s) in our ledger. 2 graduated from the bonding curve, a 6.90% graduation rate.

View on Solscan

Record

Wallet85JfzMJ7eNbM9JLB75gCezpryqVvHpkEYqau61zvDjUY
Launches observed29
Graduated2
Graduation rate6.90%
Best multiple26.6x

A deployer with several launches has a measurable graduation rate, which is more informative than a single launch. A deployer with one launch has a rate of either 0% or 100% and tells you nothing.

Recent launches

The wallet's most recent 29 launches, biggest move first. Most launches never leave the bonding curve, so a list of only the winners would misrepresent the record.

LaunchMultiple PeakOutcome
Trumpk26.6x$56,699graduated
Trumpk20.7x$44,281graduated
Trumpk4.7x$5,550no
Trumpk3.7x$4,492no
Trumpk3.2x$6,907no
Trumpk2.6x$13,740no
Trumpk2.3x$4,986no
Trumpk1.9x$4,143no
Trumpk1.8x$2,835no
Trumpk1.8x$3,780no
Andrey1.7x$3,676no
Trumpk1.7x$2,544no

2 of these 29 graduated. Every one has its own launch record in the ledger.

Graduated launches

TokenMultiplePeak
Trumpk26.6x$56,699
Trumpk20.7x$44,281

What a graduation rate does not tell you

A high rate means this wallet is good at getting projects to clear the curve. It is not evidence of a good project, not an audit of the contracts, and not a guarantee that anyone who buys can sell. Most launches never graduate, so a creator who graduates two of three is still leaving two tokens stranded on the curve.

It also cannot see a deployer who uses a fresh wallet per launch, which is the cheapest way to avoid a history. Cross-chain wallet clustering would address that and is not built.

What these numbers are. CoinCheck's 94.6% aggregate is a bonding-curve graduation predictor over 79,519 resolved calls. It is not a rug-detection accuracy rate, and the bullish bucket scores 1%.

What graduation is not. Leaving the bonding curve means a token got enough buying interest to clear a low bar. It is not a safety endorsement, and a deployer who graduates often is not thereby running a good project.

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