This wallet launched 263 token(s) in our ledger. 2 graduated from the bonding curve, a 0.76% graduation rate.
View on Solscan| Wallet | 7ThNaxDtgoGkYG2nfsxwBU6y98VmDcVAJC9SBbk4JmXb |
|---|---|
| Launches observed | 263 |
| Graduated | 2 |
| Graduation rate | 0.76% |
| Best multiple | 12.1x |
A deployer with several launches has a measurable graduation rate, which is more informative than a single launch. A deployer with one launch has a rate of either 0% or 100% and tells you nothing.
The wallet's most recent 263 launches, biggest move first. Most launches never leave the bonding curve, so a list of only the winners would misrepresent the record.
| Launch | Multiple | Peak | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| FABLE 5.1 | 12.1x | $25,910 | graduated |
| FABLE 5.1 | 11.5x | $34,979 | graduated |
| FABLE 5.1 | 12.6x | $13,886 | no |
| APPLE | 12.6x | $15,097 | no |
| FABLE 5.1 | 11.4x | $16,305 | no |
| APPLE | 9.6x | $20,440 | no |
| APPLE | 9.1x | $19,412 | no |
| FABLE 5.1 | 8.2x | $91,426 | no |
| FABLE 5.1 | 7.6x | $76,199 | no |
| APPLE | 7.4x | $54,821 | no |
| FABLE 5.1 | 7.2x | $24,235 | no |
| FABLE 5.1 | 6.7x | $14,378 | no |
2 of these 263 graduated. Every one has its own launch record in the ledger.
A high rate means this wallet is good at getting projects to clear the curve. It is not evidence of a good project, not an audit of the contracts, and not a guarantee that anyone who buys can sell. Most launches never graduate, so a creator who graduates two of three is still leaving two tokens stranded on the curve.
It also cannot see a deployer who uses a fresh wallet per launch, which is the cheapest way to avoid a history. Cross-chain wallet clustering would address that and is not built.
What these numbers are. CoinCheck's 94.6% aggregate is a bonding-curve graduation predictor over 79,519 resolved calls. It is not a rug-detection accuracy rate, and the bullish bucket scores 1%.
What graduation is not. Leaving the bonding curve means a token got enough buying interest to clear a low bar. It is not a safety endorsement, and a deployer who graduates often is not thereby running a good project.
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