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Launch ledger · published methodology · no paid placement

Deployer 6k4YCFwm…6f5XRv

This wallet launched 447 token(s) in our ledger. 7 graduated from the bonding curve, a 1.57% graduation rate.

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Record

Wallet6k4YCFwmCFswWZK5ziRtdvoCwVnoiYTLycEk5b6f5XRv
Launches observed447
Graduated7
Graduation rate1.57%
Best multiple31.1x

A deployer with several launches has a measurable graduation rate, which is more informative than a single launch. A deployer with one launch has a rate of either 0% or 100% and tells you nothing.

Recent launches

The wallet's most recent 447 launches, biggest move first. Most launches never leave the bonding curve, so a list of only the winners would misrepresent the record.

LaunchMultiple PeakOutcome
Bull31.1x$56,535graduated
panda19.6x$41,488graduated
BabyBull17.2x$82,118graduated
Bull13.0x$27,728graduated
Shivava12.5x$31,546graduated
shiva12.1x$28,526graduated
RoarCat10.0x$37,506graduated
Cute Bull18.5x$20,900no
BullCandle11.8x$13,482no
RoarCat10.8x$15,962no
Shivava9.2x$19,668no
Panda7.6x$8,292no

7 of these 447 graduated. Every one has its own launch record in the ledger.

Graduated launches

TokenMultiplePeak
Bull31.1x$56,535
panda19.6x$41,488
BabyBull17.2x$82,118
Bull13.0x$27,728
Shivava12.5x$31,546
shiva12.1x$28,526
RoarCat10.0x$37,506

What a graduation rate does not tell you

A high rate means this wallet is good at getting projects to clear the curve. It is not evidence of a good project, not an audit of the contracts, and not a guarantee that anyone who buys can sell. Most launches never graduate, so a creator who graduates two of three is still leaving two tokens stranded on the curve.

It also cannot see a deployer who uses a fresh wallet per launch, which is the cheapest way to avoid a history. Cross-chain wallet clustering would address that and is not built.

What these numbers are. CoinCheck's 94.6% aggregate is a bonding-curve graduation predictor over 79,519 resolved calls. It is not a rug-detection accuracy rate, and the bullish bucket scores 1%.

What graduation is not. Leaving the bonding curve means a token got enough buying interest to clear a low bar. It is not a safety endorsement, and a deployer who graduates often is not thereby running a good project.

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