coincheck
Launch ledger · published methodology · no paid placement

Deployer 6k21UZ6Q…dvwdL4

This wallet launched 16 token(s) in our ledger. 1 graduated from the bonding curve, a 6.25% graduation rate.

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Record

Wallet6k21UZ6Quh29B6NfgpQ4guv7DCvrYnuZMT7mjkdvwdL4
Launches observed16
Graduated1
Graduation rate6.25%
Best multiple26.5x

A deployer with several launches has a measurable graduation rate, which is more informative than a single launch. A deployer with one launch has a rate of either 0% or 100% and tells you nothing.

Recent launches

The wallet's most recent 16 launches, biggest move first. Most launches never leave the bonding curve, so a list of only the winners would misrepresent the record.

LaunchMultiple PeakOutcome
Is it worth it?26.5x$164,659graduated
Bearballs8.9x$15,219no
Bitcoin 69K1.2x$15,109no
DIALUP1.0x$2,832no
Is it worth it?1.0x$2,401no
SHRUG1.0x$2,423no
Stopped at 41.0x$2,558no
Bullburp1.0x$2,551no
Baleba1.0x$2,517no
Hyperliquid USA1.0x$2,519no
Hey It's Me It's Verity1.0x$2,524no
Millennial1.0x$2,520no

1 of these 16 graduated. Every one has its own launch record in the ledger.

Graduated launches

TokenMultiplePeak
Is it worth it?26.5x$164,659

What a graduation rate does not tell you

A high rate means this wallet is good at getting projects to clear the curve. It is not evidence of a good project, not an audit of the contracts, and not a guarantee that anyone who buys can sell. Most launches never graduate, so a creator who graduates two of three is still leaving two tokens stranded on the curve.

It also cannot see a deployer who uses a fresh wallet per launch, which is the cheapest way to avoid a history. Cross-chain wallet clustering would address that and is not built.

What these numbers are. CoinCheck's 94.6% aggregate is a bonding-curve graduation predictor over 79,519 resolved calls. It is not a rug-detection accuracy rate, and the bullish bucket scores 1%.

What graduation is not. Leaving the bonding curve means a token got enough buying interest to clear a low bar. It is not a safety endorsement, and a deployer who graduates often is not thereby running a good project.

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