coincheck
Launch ledger · published methodology · no paid placement

Deployer 6M8T7e8r…5UYRuN

This wallet launched 88 token(s) in our ledger. 5 graduated from the bonding curve, a 5.68% graduation rate.

View on Solscan

Record

Wallet6M8T7e8rDACRUcEaNq9bDsYEY8YFzQvqHTJmLq5UYRuN
Launches observed88
Graduated5
Graduation rate5.68%
Best multiple26.7x

A deployer with several launches has a measurable graduation rate, which is more informative than a single launch. A deployer with one launch has a rate of either 0% or 100% and tells you nothing.

Recent launches

The wallet's most recent 88 launches, biggest move first. Most launches never leave the bonding curve, so a list of only the winners would misrepresent the record.

LaunchMultiple PeakOutcome
goat coin26.7x$102,653graduated
34percent18.1x$67,331graduated
Manic Yeti13.5x$61,850graduated
AURACOIN12.8x$27,286graduated
34percent10.2x$50,804graduated
RoboChick12.0x$15,777no
dog wif cap7.6x$8,413no
Toxic Mongoose7.4x$15,558no
CRITTERS7.4x$11,037no
MyWorth7.0x$12,585no
MyBackSide6.6x$14,040no
LMAO5.3x$8,516no

5 of these 88 graduated. Every one has its own launch record in the ledger.

Graduated launches

TokenMultiplePeak
goat coin26.7x$102,653
34percent18.1x$67,331
Manic Yeti13.5x$61,850
AURACOIN12.8x$27,286
34percent10.2x$50,804

What a graduation rate does not tell you

A high rate means this wallet is good at getting projects to clear the curve. It is not evidence of a good project, not an audit of the contracts, and not a guarantee that anyone who buys can sell. Most launches never graduate, so a creator who graduates two of three is still leaving two tokens stranded on the curve.

It also cannot see a deployer who uses a fresh wallet per launch, which is the cheapest way to avoid a history. Cross-chain wallet clustering would address that and is not built.

What these numbers are. CoinCheck's 94.6% aggregate is a bonding-curve graduation predictor over 79,519 resolved calls. It is not a rug-detection accuracy rate, and the bullish bucket scores 1%.

What graduation is not. Leaving the bonding curve means a token got enough buying interest to clear a low bar. It is not a safety endorsement, and a deployer who graduates often is not thereby running a good project.

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