This wallet launched 203 token(s) in our ledger. 8 graduated from the bonding curve, a 3.94% graduation rate.
View on Solscan| Wallet | 4dWekq7giHKWX1iqQ63Bv9JvkGgxSfHBfemKDDnA1Yxy |
|---|---|
| Launches observed | 203 |
| Graduated | 8 |
| Graduation rate | 3.94% |
| Best multiple | 20.5x |
A deployer with several launches has a measurable graduation rate, which is more informative than a single launch. A deployer with one launch has a rate of either 0% or 100% and tells you nothing.
The wallet's most recent 203 launches, biggest move first. Most launches never leave the bonding curve, so a list of only the winners would misrepresent the record.
| Launch | Multiple | Peak | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| SuperDown | 20.5x | $35,204 | graduated |
| SuperDown | 18.8x | $108,287 | graduated |
| SuperDown | 17.9x | $38,105 | graduated |
| SuperDown | 14.8x | $71,082 | graduated |
| SuperDown | 13.9x | $192,503 | graduated |
| SuperDown | 13.4x | $41,040 | graduated |
| SuperDown | 13.3x | $140,367 | graduated |
| SuperDown | 11.8x | $60,518 | graduated |
| SuperDown | 15.0x | $20,805 | no |
| SuperDown | 9.5x | $49,992 | no |
| SuperDown | 8.9x | $14,058 | no |
| SuperDown | 8.8x | $17,146 | no |
8 of these 203 graduated. Every one has its own launch record in the ledger.
| Token | Multiple | Peak |
|---|---|---|
| SuperDown | 20.5x | $35,204 |
| SuperDown | 18.8x | $108,287 |
| SuperDown | 17.9x | $38,105 |
| SuperDown | 14.8x | $71,082 |
| SuperDown | 13.9x | $192,503 |
| SuperDown | 13.4x | $41,040 |
| SuperDown | 13.3x | $140,367 |
| SuperDown | 11.8x | $60,518 |
A high rate means this wallet is good at getting projects to clear the curve. It is not evidence of a good project, not an audit of the contracts, and not a guarantee that anyone who buys can sell. Most launches never graduate, so a creator who graduates two of three is still leaving two tokens stranded on the curve.
It also cannot see a deployer who uses a fresh wallet per launch, which is the cheapest way to avoid a history. Cross-chain wallet clustering would address that and is not built.
What these numbers are. CoinCheck's 94.6% aggregate is a bonding-curve graduation predictor over 79,519 resolved calls. It is not a rug-detection accuracy rate, and the bullish bucket scores 1%.
What graduation is not. Leaving the bonding curve means a token got enough buying interest to clear a low bar. It is not a safety endorsement, and a deployer who graduates often is not thereby running a good project.
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