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Launch ledger · published methodology · no paid placement

Deployer 4Y166iqh…GwcVew

This wallet launched 15 token(s) in our ledger. 1 graduated from the bonding curve, a 6.67% graduation rate.

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Record

Wallet4Y166iqhp6xc288Uphq7kCiZ9gnpSvWqqNEA4VGwcVew
Launches observed15
Graduated1
Graduation rate6.67%
Best multiple13.4x

A deployer with several launches has a measurable graduation rate, which is more informative than a single launch. A deployer with one launch has a rate of either 0% or 100% and tells you nothing.

Recent launches

The wallet's most recent 15 launches, biggest move first. Most launches never leave the bonding curve, so a list of only the winners would misrepresent the record.

LaunchMultiple PeakOutcome
ANSEMBALLS13.4x$25,585graduated
TRIPPLEGOLDENBULLBALLS7.1x$30,362no
Roman100X4.1x$8,329no
TITTS2.5x$3,121no
Roman100X2.2x$4,738no
ANSEMBALLS2.0x$4,256no
TRIPPLEGOLDENBULLBALLS1.9x$14,428no
BULLHEART1.0x$2,432no
TRIPPLEGOLDENBULLBALLS1.0x$2,628no
GREYSON1.0x$3,034no
MOONCAT1.0x$2,943no
FUCKTOPUS1.0x$2,957no

1 of these 15 graduated. Every one has its own launch record in the ledger.

Graduated launches

TokenMultiplePeak
ANSEMBALLS13.4x$25,585

What a graduation rate does not tell you

A high rate means this wallet is good at getting projects to clear the curve. It is not evidence of a good project, not an audit of the contracts, and not a guarantee that anyone who buys can sell. Most launches never graduate, so a creator who graduates two of three is still leaving two tokens stranded on the curve.

It also cannot see a deployer who uses a fresh wallet per launch, which is the cheapest way to avoid a history. Cross-chain wallet clustering would address that and is not built.

What these numbers are. CoinCheck's 94.6% aggregate is a bonding-curve graduation predictor over 79,519 resolved calls. It is not a rug-detection accuracy rate, and the bullish bucket scores 1%.

What graduation is not. Leaving the bonding curve means a token got enough buying interest to clear a low bar. It is not a safety endorsement, and a deployer who graduates often is not thereby running a good project.

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