coincheck
Launch ledger · published methodology · no paid placement

Deployer 3p27vcVR…X2dQj8

This wallet launched 1230 token(s) in our ledger. 13 graduated from the bonding curve, a 1.06% graduation rate.

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Record

Wallet3p27vcVRUQvcTnDGSWgPpEHeNKNXxdJpdPbCUzX2dQj8
Launches observed1230
Graduated13
Graduation rate1.06%
Best multiple69.5x

A deployer with several launches has a measurable graduation rate, which is more informative than a single launch. A deployer with one launch has a rate of either 0% or 100% and tells you nothing.

Recent launches

The wallet's most recent 1230 launches, biggest move first. Most launches never leave the bonding curve, so a list of only the winners would misrepresent the record.

LaunchMultiple PeakOutcome
MAYHEM69.5x$139,226graduated
MAYHEM22.5x$47,953graduated
MAYHEM13.4x$32,938graduated
MAYHEM12.7x$27,094graduated
MAYHEM12.4x$26,500graduated
MAYHEM12.1x$18,578graduated
MAYHEM11.7x$21,362graduated
MAYHEM11.5x$27,138graduated
MAYHEM11.1x$23,647graduated
MAYHEM10.9x$28,366graduated
MAYHEM10.2x$21,773graduated
MAYHEM10.1x$41,261graduated

13 of these 1230 graduated. Every one has its own launch record in the ledger.

Graduated launches

TokenMultiplePeak
MAYHEM69.5x$139,226
MAYHEM22.5x$47,953
MAYHEM13.4x$32,938
MAYHEM12.7x$27,094
MAYHEM12.4x$26,500
MAYHEM12.1x$18,578
MAYHEM11.7x$21,362
MAYHEM11.5x$27,138

What a graduation rate does not tell you

A high rate means this wallet is good at getting projects to clear the curve. It is not evidence of a good project, not an audit of the contracts, and not a guarantee that anyone who buys can sell. Most launches never graduate, so a creator who graduates two of three is still leaving two tokens stranded on the curve.

It also cannot see a deployer who uses a fresh wallet per launch, which is the cheapest way to avoid a history. Cross-chain wallet clustering would address that and is not built.

What these numbers are. CoinCheck's 94.6% aggregate is a bonding-curve graduation predictor over 79,519 resolved calls. It is not a rug-detection accuracy rate, and the bullish bucket scores 1%.

What graduation is not. Leaving the bonding curve means a token got enough buying interest to clear a low bar. It is not a safety endorsement, and a deployer who graduates often is not thereby running a good project.

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