coincheck
Launch ledger · published methodology · no paid placement

Deployer 3BTiWFWx…PwABU3

This wallet launched 30 token(s) in our ledger. 1 graduated from the bonding curve, a 3.33% graduation rate.

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Record

Wallet3BTiWFWxLR31QcTKGWSzRsuiRNpKCsoEP6cCmzPwABU3
Launches observed30
Graduated1
Graduation rate3.33%
Best multiple12.0x

A deployer with several launches has a measurable graduation rate, which is more informative than a single launch. A deployer with one launch has a rate of either 0% or 100% and tells you nothing.

Recent launches

The wallet's most recent 30 launches, biggest move first. Most launches never leave the bonding curve, so a list of only the winners would misrepresent the record.

LaunchMultiple PeakOutcome
NEXT_WAVE12.0x$30,479graduated
MotoMike18.5x$21,272no
KnockoutRider4.0x$13,394no
IronBike4.0x$4,349no
SpeedMike3.5x$11,059no
LAPEACE3.3x$7,089no
RICKROLL3.2x$27,734no
NOBODY2.9x$3,226no
GOODBYECHAT2.7x$4,804no
NEXT_WAVE2.7x$5,768no
LEGENDS_OF_GROOMING2.7x$8,858no
MotoMike2.6x$3,261no

1 of these 30 graduated. Every one has its own launch record in the ledger.

Graduated launches

TokenMultiplePeak
NEXT_WAVE12.0x$30,479

What a graduation rate does not tell you

A high rate means this wallet is good at getting projects to clear the curve. It is not evidence of a good project, not an audit of the contracts, and not a guarantee that anyone who buys can sell. Most launches never graduate, so a creator who graduates two of three is still leaving two tokens stranded on the curve.

It also cannot see a deployer who uses a fresh wallet per launch, which is the cheapest way to avoid a history. Cross-chain wallet clustering would address that and is not built.

What these numbers are. CoinCheck's 94.6% aggregate is a bonding-curve graduation predictor over 79,519 resolved calls. It is not a rug-detection accuracy rate, and the bullish bucket scores 1%.

What graduation is not. Leaving the bonding curve means a token got enough buying interest to clear a low bar. It is not a safety endorsement, and a deployer who graduates often is not thereby running a good project.

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