coincheck
Launch ledger · published methodology · no paid placement

Deployer 2a15SW9Y…VNjPtF

This wallet launched 37 token(s) in our ledger. 1 graduated from the bonding curve, a 2.70% graduation rate.

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Record

Wallet2a15SW9Yb2o8xGhaBrvhPMpNL4vEGtGgo5z3wmVNjPtF
Launches observed37
Graduated1
Graduation rate2.70%
Best multiple26.9x

A deployer with several launches has a measurable graduation rate, which is more informative than a single launch. A deployer with one launch has a rate of either 0% or 100% and tells you nothing.

Recent launches

The wallet's most recent 37 launches, biggest move first. Most launches never leave the bonding curve, so a list of only the winners would misrepresent the record.

LaunchMultiple PeakOutcome
pons26.9x$83,593graduated
AsSeTS5.5x$16,361no
fight to the top4.0x$4,989no
pons3.9x$8,339no
pons3.7x$18,703no
PONS3.5x$7,479no
fight3.4x$4,111no
pons3.2x$11,374no
pons2.8x$4,146no
pons2.5x$8,360no
pons1.9x$2,332no
pons1.7x$4,177no

1 of these 37 graduated. Every one has its own launch record in the ledger.

Graduated launches

TokenMultiplePeak
pons26.9x$83,593

What a graduation rate does not tell you

A high rate means this wallet is good at getting projects to clear the curve. It is not evidence of a good project, not an audit of the contracts, and not a guarantee that anyone who buys can sell. Most launches never graduate, so a creator who graduates two of three is still leaving two tokens stranded on the curve.

It also cannot see a deployer who uses a fresh wallet per launch, which is the cheapest way to avoid a history. Cross-chain wallet clustering would address that and is not built.

What these numbers are. CoinCheck's 94.6% aggregate is a bonding-curve graduation predictor over 79,519 resolved calls. It is not a rug-detection accuracy rate, and the bullish bucket scores 1%.

What graduation is not. Leaving the bonding curve means a token got enough buying interest to clear a low bar. It is not a safety endorsement, and a deployer who graduates often is not thereby running a good project.

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