coincheck
Launch ledger · published methodology · no paid placement

Deployer 2QxaCUPL…5K5pDN

This wallet launched 95 token(s) in our ledger. 1 graduated from the bonding curve, a 1.05% graduation rate.

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Record

Wallet2QxaCUPLQ9p7VPcRS38DDNXJA1AsQeixN12LUX5K5pDN
Launches observed95
Graduated1
Graduation rate1.05%
Best multiple28.3x

A deployer with several launches has a measurable graduation rate, which is more informative than a single launch. A deployer with one launch has a rate of either 0% or 100% and tells you nothing.

Recent launches

The wallet's most recent 95 launches, biggest move first. Most launches never leave the bonding curve, so a list of only the winners would misrepresent the record.

LaunchMultiple PeakOutcome
Toady Toad 🐸28.3x$60,447graduated
AI BULL5.8x$9,386no
Toady Toad 🐸5.1x$8,613no
Toady Toad 🐸4.8x$10,153no
Weli Weli4.1x$16,652no
Cashier4.1x$8,738no
Toady Toad3.0x$4,220no
Toady Toad 🐸2.9x$4,322no
Toady Toad 🐸2.8x$3,703no
Toady Toad 🐸2.6x$4,676no
Toady Toad 🐸2.6x$5,802no
Toady Toad 🐸2.6x$4,096no

1 of these 95 graduated. Every one has its own launch record in the ledger.

Graduated launches

TokenMultiplePeak
Toady Toad 🐸28.3x$60,447

What a graduation rate does not tell you

A high rate means this wallet is good at getting projects to clear the curve. It is not evidence of a good project, not an audit of the contracts, and not a guarantee that anyone who buys can sell. Most launches never graduate, so a creator who graduates two of three is still leaving two tokens stranded on the curve.

It also cannot see a deployer who uses a fresh wallet per launch, which is the cheapest way to avoid a history. Cross-chain wallet clustering would address that and is not built.

What these numbers are. CoinCheck's 94.6% aggregate is a bonding-curve graduation predictor over 79,519 resolved calls. It is not a rug-detection accuracy rate, and the bullish bucket scores 1%.

What graduation is not. Leaving the bonding curve means a token got enough buying interest to clear a low bar. It is not a safety endorsement, and a deployer who graduates often is not thereby running a good project.

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