Every token minted gets watched. Every reading gets scored against what happened next. Every resolution re-weights what matters. This page shows the current state of that machine - not a pitch, the actual learned state as of 2026-09-19 01:20 UTC.
Base: 370 of 32,381 sampled tokens (1.14%) kept attracting buying between minute 5 and minute 30. Every early signal is judged against that base. Lift above 1.0x means the signal predicts continued buying; below 1.0x means it predicts the graveyard.
| Signal at 5 minutes | Samples | Kept buying | Rate | Lift vs base |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| over 25pct bought | 2,091 | 152 | 7.27% | 6.4x ▲ |
| read as moved unverified | 4,897 | 257 | 5.25% | 4.6x ▲ |
| 10 25pct bought | 1,201 | 59 | 4.91% | 4.3x ▲ |
| 1 10pct bought | 6,559 | 98 | 1.49% | 1.3x ▬ |
| nobody holding | 32,381 | 370 | 1.14% | 1.0x ▬ |
| read as trickle | 13,862 | 70 | 0.50% | 0.4x ▼ |
| read as nobody bought | 13,622 | 42 | 0.31% | 0.3x ▼ |
| under 1pct bought | 8,913 | 17 | 0.19% | 0.2x ▼ |
Our own finding says hype anti-predicts graduation - so the desk watches the opposite: fresh LOW-notability swarms, the cohort that graduated at 2.87 percent versus 1.08 for loud ones. The most recent quiet commits still awaiting their verdict:
| Token | Notability | Committed |
|---|---|---|
| No quiet swarms pending right now. | ||
| Feature | Weight |
|---|---|
| creatorBestAth | 48 |
| curveVelocity | 33 |
| socialTag | 30 |
| narrativeTag | 8 |
| notability | 1 |
Weights shift automatically as outcomes resolve - creator history and curve velocity currently dominate, exactly as you would expect from the lift table above. When the market changes, the weights drift with it. No committee decides this; the resolutions do.
Signals under 100 samples are not reported at all - small samples dress noise up as discovery, and this industry has enough of that. Everything is measured in-sample against this feeds own window, stated rather than hidden. And none of it is a price prediction: kept buying is a fact about wallets, not about anyones profit.
Not financial advice; memecoins can go to zero regardless of any signal. Assume you can lose everything you put in. Page regenerates from the ledgers - last build 2026-09-26 15:41 UTC.